Check out this neat out-take from Gloria…
An economic check on Egypt.
And remember the warning.
January 30, 2011 • 19:54 0
January 27, 2011 • 21:58 0
Tunisia, Lebanon, Egypt, Yemen, Somaliland, Morocco, Jordan, Lybia, Bahrain, Kurdistan, and a few more governments looking over their shoulder. With exception to Lebanon, most of the protesters were organized flash mob style.
In Lebanon, Hezbollah forced the government to collapse by walking out of Parliament and then took over the Prime Minister slot that used to always be a Sunni position. So… that Gentleman’s agreement has failed to hold. Needless to say, it is looking like Iran2.0 there and hezbollah are highly armed. Ergo, Israel considers all of Lebanon now a terrorist state (US state department too) – thus goes USAID and all the losers are north of the blue line. Israel is concentrating on force protection. They are digging in real well.
Tunisia is far from being a third world country. They are educated and more Europeon than anything. Yet there may be implications for the other nations concerning Islam. Moreover, an implication that the priority is ousting the sitting political order with no emphasis in what replaces it. Power vacuums tend not to traditionally end well, but if it does, kudos!
Egypt has been building up feelings of resentment for quite a long time.
Their President for Life has been slow go or no go in reform and economical matters. And there also portends thuggery as well as corruption. After all, We Are All Khaled Said now.
Libya hears grumblings as well. Gaddfi grumbled against it all. Wikileaks hurt a-lot of people.
Sometimes the Islamic groups are viewed as not corrupt and a means to end the current corrupt rule (Which was overthrown for corruption last time)
But one thing that will make or break the difference in outcomes is Food. Food Prices, Fuel prices, basic services.
One thing barely covered was the vote in South Sudan. It was a successful divide and also may have influenced events. Keep our eyes open on Abei. See how that meshes out.
In any case, I pray these countries find decent leadership. It truly is time to separate wheat from the chaff.
Get these guys proxy software so they may talk to eachother. Get that ball rolling. I heard questions about it today and wondered why they had not gotten the word on how to get past a firewall. Or make an internet.
Do not forget that Iran is now jailing and executing their opposition since the rest of the world “is not watching”.
1/28 Albania is starting to become restless.
2/9 Pakistan looses it’s Parliament
2/9 Jordan has the usual suspects waiting in the wings to spread Mayhem.
2/11 – Yemen is starting to get heated.
2/12 Gabon tries their hand.
2/13 Iran is starting to kick off
2/17 Libya’s kickoff
Bahrain #feb14, Libya #feb17, Algeria #feb19, Morocco #feb20, Cameroon #feb23, Kuwait #Mar8
3/21 Yemen is now very hot. Syria is intense but not yet there. Jordan, Morocco look solid but watch it.
3/24 Syria has probably not seen this much discontent ever. You know, an Al-Assad also ruled Asyria 2000 years ago.
4/27 Syria – Soldiers in the military are defecting, the security apparatus is becoming more distant from the political wing.
05/18 – Somaliland becoming state sponsors of terrs.
05/22 – Albania has pesky socialists making trouble
05/28 – Yemen on the brink. Beware.
05/29 – Egypt has another presidential “hopeful”.
06/01 – Bashir is trying to take Abyei
06/06 – CNAS Conference from 06/02. Very good viewing.
06/09 – Syria – Divisions in the Syrian forces.
06/10 – Egypt: The salifist are climbing out from under the rocks.
06/13 – Intelligence is losing ground in the Middle East. Not good
06/20 – Baby Assad gives a speech at a time where Syrians stream across the Turkish border Syrian army in pursuit- Turkey rejects.
06/28/11 – Somalia lawmakers elect a Harvard Educated Prime Minister.
06/30/11 – Egypt has a new “moderate” candidate.
07/01/11 – Morocco votes on a Constitutional referendum.
07/04/11 – Syria Military separation may be developing fast. The worry is if Assad falls, the Allawites get wiped out. If not, the Sunni continue to take fire.
07/08/11 – SWJ Challenges ahead in the Middle East.
Sudan: Photos of the New Country. (beware the always un-professional pop-up with sound ads but then you can see the photos stuff)
07/14/11 – The Kurds want their autonomy as promised by the UN – yet undelivered. With the disintegration of Syria, and contentions on the Turkish border as well as parts of Iran, this may become a big deal.
07/15/11 – The Kurds want their autonomy as promised by the UN – yet undelivered. With the disintegration of Syria, and contentions on the Turkish border as well as parts of Iran, this may become a big deal. Turkey will be edging to war against the PKK and expulsion of Kurds may be seen from outlying areas in the border region. Turkey will not turn down this chance to expel Kurds from “Turkish” territory as the as the opportunity has presented itself. I love the Kurds.
Iran has internal strife as they try to garner more influence in their immediate vicinity.
07/27/11 – An NSN update…
07/28/11 – Egypt: Could this Woman be the next President? I wish.
07/30/11 – Syria: Earlier in this week I saw a story that Syrian Military Generals were defecting and later that week I heard a report that that story was indeed false. Apparently on the 29th, the Syrian Military went out posing as opposition to Assad and once people joined them, they were shot. High caliber weapons were used and it is not over yet.
08/17/11 – Food prices and political instability (PDF)
09/18/11 – Turkey: Erdogan – going crazy is logical.
09/20/11 – Some harsh reviews of Mr President over the handling of the middle east as well as a fast paced run down.
09/29/11 – Pakistan as willingness party? You don’t say. But be easy, you backed greater monsters for less. Having a handle is better than nothing.
10/14/11 – Just a short update on the landscape:
Egyptian Copts are facing great pressure from the populace and the military tends to not protect them. More than 100,000 have fled. It looks as if the “revolution” has led the country to a military coup. Seemed logical from the start.
Turkey is still acting huffy over the Israeli detention of the flotilla and is also facing some stiff resistance from the Kurds with the PKK. Turkey is also an influential partner in the US led sanctions against Iran so diplomatic ties are operating in constant.
In Libya, Sirte is still under siege but some progress by the TNR.
In Lebanon, it seems Hezbollah’s grasp has been weakened as Syria undergoes it’s own turmolt.
In Yemen, Saleh has returned and stated he plans to step down – than immediately started re-consolidating power.
Still nothing of Tunesia.
Jordan’s King actually made steps to reform and the country maintains stability.
Somalia is still Somalia.
Iran failed to launch Ahmadinejad into space.
10/18/11 – It is a good thing that Iraq was taken down as Turkey naturally fills the role. It is still looking for identity.
10/31/11 – A Syrian civil war.
11/14/11 – Who’s who in the Syrian rebellion.
11/17/11 – Wahabbist vs Sunni in Syria.
January 26, 2011 • 23:41 0
January 21, 2011 • 12:06 0
Tunisia is a very solid country. Very modern, educated, and has not been a worry for me. They revolted against their leader for good reason as in …. say Honduras.
Anyhoo, Austin Bay wrote an article as a brief note.
January 14, 2011 • 11:08 0
Oil hit $100 today. High energy prices in WINTER during a recession with rising food and commodities as well as inflation in the currency. This will double dip this nation a plunge too far.
This will devastate the US on all levels, starting with the poor.
High energy prices impact the economy more than most other influences..
Three main forces are to blame: Environmental law (which is not really about the environment), mortoriums, and the tax rate Congress sets.
The oil industry is a very expensive and difficult system to run. Research, development, currency rate, refinery ability, and logistics all influence the real cost of oil.
First you have to have profit to explore and build the wells. You must hire good and safe people with experience.
You have to match the correct refinery with the correct weight oil and due to over-regulation, no one makes money in the refining business anymore.
If the currency is inflating, the price of everything goes higher so you have that going against you.
Bottom line is if the companies cannot make enough profit to continue to develop new sources of fuel, they will not and the price will rise.
Even if the US does not meet demand for this resource, the rest of the world WILL.
The point is there is absolutely no reason to not exploit this resource anywhere we can. Not even environmental reasons.
04/27 -Here is the Congressional research whitepaper. Shows we have plenty.
04/29 – Shale reserves are larger than thought.
P.S. What sense does it make to starve the Oil Industry here in the US, approve only one Nuke plant, Subsidize corn as oil, and buy a car company that will produce electric cars with a grid that is on it’s last legs as it is? Subsidize Brazilian oil company while denying it here because Soros wanted it? WTF – this is really too stupid for me to even comprehend.
Fuel prices necessarily skyrocket? Who said that? the imbecile you elected to be President – thats who.
January 13, 2011 • 23:13 0
I feel as if this entire nation is in a grade school classroom with crayons and crepe paper, drawing pictures with their imagination.
Real peoples bodies are not yet cold and the kids talk conjecture and pontificate. The “Teacher” holds a pep rally at the memorial service.
No one is being taught the truth, and the after school specials are all fabiracated news which of course the kids believe.
It is an EPIC FAIL. You are disgusting people.
January 7, 2011 • 18:22 0
I have a strange and glorious feeling of much weight being removed in the past month or so. I literally feel it and have been in a pleasant mood the past few days because of it. This is great because 2010 was the worst ass eating year in history where as actions are concerned.
I see some fiscal sanity returning to that criminally insane sewage factory that is Washington DC. That crappy bureaucrats wet dream health control bill was repeald in the house. Animal farm delayed for another year or so. We shall see.
Tator Tot has declared he will tone it down. We shall see.
AF/Pak plan to hold a Jirga.
Even the Copts are getting protection on this Christmas day.
It may not seem like much, but every little bit helps. It’s the feeling I get that counts – I see other good things too.
January 7, 2011 • 00:35 0
This resonates with me. You seek men of character in the engagement of warfare. Being exceptionally knowledgeable and competent in these skills do not automatically reward.
Our military has been engaging in another war in the past few decades; A war of political influence and social experimentation. I have seen the degrading treatment of our Soldiers by our political “betters” for quite a long time.
Atlantic describes many things that force the troops to turn tail – not from battle, but from the bureaucratic PC wankers that attempt to put fine warriors in a box. This piece is about John Nagl. Mind you, he is brilliant but they chased him off anyway.
We also had an exceptional Skipper of the Big E canned for trying to improve morale in an otherwise mundane environment where most on board had cabin fever. I commend that man though it was tasteless. I would have done it myself – yet my skits were much worse.
Chain of command made a bad decision in how they acted. It meshes nicely with the Atlantic story. How prescient.
One more thing, Military members must be thick skinned so whomever it was that complained needs the boot as well. You do not want an environment where those with leadership tabs are taken to the shed over a complaint from a ticked off private pile. I anger at the chain of command over this.
January 5, 2011 • 13:52 0
Strategypage tends to business with a simple review of current wars. It’s a gauge of how things are going and where. The summation is Here…
January 1, 2011 • 22:36 0
The LORD bless you and keep you;
The LORD make His face to shine upon you and be gracious to you;
The LORD lift up His countenance upon you and give you peace.